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First, I want to wish you a happy 2007.
Quotes of the Month:
-- "One of
the surest ways to achieve your own success is by helping others attain theirs."
Napoleon Hill
--"Idealism
increases in direct proportion to one's distance from the problem." John Galsworthy
--"I'm
a great believer in luck, and I find the harder I work the more of it I have."
Thomas Jefferson
Interest Rates:
10 year Treasuries
were 4.71% as of 12/29/06, compared to 4.61% on 10/31/06, 4.73% on 8/31/06,
5.07% on 4/28/06, 4.56% on 3/30/05, and 4.62% on 6/30/04.
Top Stories and Observations from News Reports:
- 100 Oaks Mall sells for $49 million and is to be revitalized with upstairs
converted to offices.
- Economy slowing but soft landing predicted.
- Fed funds rate expected to be cut to 4.75% by mid-2007 (a 50 basis point
cut) and 10 year T's at 4.88% by end of 2007.
- Middle Tennessee consumers are twice as optimistic at U.S. consumers.
- Fifth Third Center downtown sells for $62 million.
- GM commits to keep Spring Hill plant open.
- 3000 unit Del Webb residential announced for Mt. Juliet area.
- Super Target to anchor 450,000 SF Spring Hill retail project.
Headlines For November 2006 (listed by date)
- Oldest Baby Boomers Turn 60, Retail Traffic, 11/1/06 (78 million
Americans born between 1946 and 1964 with tremendous buying power)
- Work Begins On Belle Meade Town Center, Business Journal, 11/2/06
(Converting Belle Meade Theater to Harris Teeter, AmSouth, shops).
- Productivity Slowdown And Rising Wages Cause Inflation Fears, AP,
11/2/06
- Two Nashville Auto Dealers Moving To Mt. Juliet, Business Journal,
11/3/06 (Two Rivers Ford and Carl Black Chevrolet)
- 235,000 SF Mt. Juliet Warehouse Sells For $7.8 Million, Business Journal, 11/3/06
- Michigan Movie Chain Building 10-Screen Theater In Gallatin, Business
Journal, 11/3/06
- Will Housing Bust Lead To A Recession?, Fortune, 11/7/06 (8 of the
last 10 housing busts were followed by a recession)
- Occupancy Growth Hits A Wall, National Real Estate Investor, 11/7/06
(report from Property and Portfolio Research predicts that vacancies in all
classes of real estate except office will be higher by 2011)
- Nashville Area Adds 11 Million SF Of Warehouse In 3 years; Now Recognized
As A "Hub", Tennessean, 11/8/06
- September Consumer Borrowing Takes Largest Drop In 10 Years, USA Today, 11/8/06 (Huge drop in
auto loans)
- Large U.S. Home Builders Profits Down 40% vs. 2005, AP, 11/8/06
- Indigo Hotel To Go In American Trust Downtown, Tennessean, 11/10/06
- A Burrito Isn't A Sandwich, Yahoo Finance, 11/10/06 (Panera Bread
sued a landlord who rented to Qdoba claiming it violated their "sandwich"
exclusive. Court ruled a burrito isn't a sandwich)
- Super Target Anchors 465,000 SF Devlopment In Spring Hill, Tennessean,
11/12/06 (Congratulation to GBT)
- 218,000 SF Harding Place Warehouse Sells For $5.9 Million, Tennessean,
11/14/06 (Congratulations Jim Crossman and David Rawlings)
- Inflation, Retail Sales Drop in October, AP, 11/14/06
- Costco Opens At New Nashville West, Tennessean, 11/17/06 (Part of
700,000 SF retail center to include Target, Best Buy, Dick's, Old Navy, Marshall's,
Staples, PetSmart, Ross. Brilliant leasing. Congratulations to N.O.M. and
Parkes)
- Metro Planning Wants To Ban Future Surface Parking Lots Downtown, Business Journal, 11/17/06
- 21 of Tennessee's 30 Most Congested Interstate Sections Are In Middle Tennessee, Tennessean,
11/19/06 (No. 1 is I-65 toward Rivergate)
- Boston Investors Pay $10.2 Million For 107,939 SF MetroCenter Office
Building, Business Journal, 11/24/06
- Two Office Buildings At Metropolitan Airport Center Sell For $12.3 Million,
Tennessean, 11/23/06
- Disparity In U.S. Wealth Increasing, USA Today, 11/24/06
- Cashout Home Refinancing At All Time High, Tennessean, 11/26/06 (May reach $300 billion for
2006)
- Nashville Named 5th Most Technology-Advanced City In U.S., Business
Journal, 11/28/06 (By Center for Digital Government)
- International Think Tank Says U.S. Growth Is Slowing and Predicts Fed Funds
Rate at 4.75% by 2008 (Currently 5.25%), AP, 11/28/06 (OECD Report)
- Fed Chairman Says Economy Slowing As Expected, AP, 11/28/06
- Bellsouth Tower Expected To Bring At Least $125 Million, Tennessean, 11/28/06 (633,000 SF
Downtown)
- Commerce Dept. Report Indicates "Soft Landing" For U.S. Economy,
AP, 11/29/06
- Amount Of Private Equity Flooding Into Commercial Real Estate Funds Astounds Analysts , CoStar
News, 11/29/06
- REIT Buys 70,000 SF Call Center In Grassmere For $15.5 Million, Tennessean, 11/30/06
- Dollar General To Close 400 Stores, Tennessean, 11/30/06
Headlines For December 2006 (listed by date)
- More Top Rankings For Nashville: No. 2 in U.S. For Economic Strength,
8th Best City For Entrepreneurs, Rutherford and Wilson Counties Were In Top
100 Fastest Growing, Nashville Chamber "Nashville Notes", 12/1/06
- Retail Concentrations: Brentwood - Cool Springs - Franklin Has 10.7 Million
SF, Murfreesboro - Smyrna has 9.3 Million SF, Rivergate - Hendersonville -
Gallatin Has 7.6 Million SF, CoStar Retail Report, 12/1/06
- Commodity Prices And Leading Indicators For OECD Countries Indicate Recession
Not Coming In Next 6 Months, Complete Investor, 12/1/06
- 2 Inescapable Trends With Big Economic Implications: Aging Of The Population
and Massive U.S. Government Debt, Complete Investor, 12/1/06 (The only
time U.S. government debt was a higher % of GDP was during WWII)
- Gaylord Considering Opryland Expansion And New Theme Park, Tennessean,
12/2/06
- Cable Networks Moving To Nashville, Tennessean, 12/3/06 (Documentary
Channel, Gospel Music, RFD TV, etc.)
- Insider Stock Sales Ratio Highest in 20 Years,Indicates Concerns About
Economy, Bloomberg.com, 12/6/06 (In November insiders sold $63 for every
$1 bought)
- 100 Oaks Mall Sells, To Be Revitalized, 2nd Floor To Be Offices,
Tennessean, 12/7/06 (750,000 SF on 57 acres)
- Slowing Economy Could Stress Some Overleveraged Investors, Global Real Estate Monitor, 12/8/06
- Duke To Build 334,000 SF Office At Cool Springs, Business Journal, 12/13/06 (Bought 18 acres
for $8.6 million - $11 psf)
- Midstate Economic Growth Continues, Tennessean, 12/11/06
- GM Commits To Spring Hill Plant, Tennessean, 12/12/06 ($225 million renovation)
- Area Home Sales Fall 9% In November, Tennessean, 12/12/06 (We're doing much better than most of
the U.S.)
- Area Employers To Hire Fewer People In First Quarter, Tennessean, 12/12/06
- Top Three Healthiest Counties In TN Are Williamson, Sumner, Rutherford,
Tennessean, 12/13/06
- Oreck Adds 400 Jobs In Cookeville, Tennessean, 12/13/06
- Fifth Third Center Sells For $62 Million, Tennessean, 12/16/06 ($130 psf)
- 100 Oaks Mall Sells For $49.2 Million, CoStar News, 12/19/06 (750,000 SF, great real estate)
- 283-room Embassy Suites To Open in 2008 In Murfreesboro, CoStar News,
12/19/06
- Economic Growth Slows to 2 Percent, AP, 12/21/06
- Fed Funds Futures Indicate 62% Chance Of Rate Cut By Mid 2007, S&P
U.S. Financial Notes, 12/22/06
- 3000 Unit Del Webb Residential Announced For Mt. Juliet Area, Business Journal, 12/22/06
- Consensus Is 10 Year T's At 4.88% By End Of 2007, Business Week, 12/25/06 (Survey of 58
forcasters)
- Manufacturers Association Predicts Slowdown But Soft Landing and Fed Rate Cut By Mid-2007, AP,
12/26/06 (National Assoc. of Manufacturers)
- Consumer Confidence Reaches 8 Month High, AP, 12/28/06
- Middle TN Consumers Twice as Optimistic as U.S. Consumers, Business Journal, 12/29/06 (MTSU
survey of consumers)
- 2007 Retail Sales Projected To Be Similar to 2006, Retail Traffic,
12/31/06
Circulation: Over 2,000 commercial real estate owners, developers, lenders and appraisers in 32 states and the U.K.
David Huddleston
(615) 310-2547
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